玻利甲秋 1-26 03:30 國民波托西 - 奧利恩特 推荐国民波托西
两队都是海拔高度不一的所在城市，7 draws since 2011....
由于Santa Cruz同Potosi（海拔4k） 距离很远必须搭飞机，之后仲要熬巴士，所以连主教练施华Silva都唔去，派个助手去就算啦，挨义气啦~！
Nacional Potosi - Oriente Petrolero
In last season Nacional Potosi beat Bolivar 1-0 and with that they qualify for Copa Sudamericana which was great sucsess.Now they start Clasura with two minimal losses but both was against the best teams and main favorites for the title(both in La Paz vs Bolivar and The Strongest).They have same squad from Apertura and even bought some good players like defender Dury(ex regular defender in San Jose).Last game Nacional played vs The Strongest and Nacional performance was very good ,they created a lot of chances ,hit the post but failed to scored despite its the good play.
In end of Apertura Oriente Petrolero had big financial problems(main players was on strike in last 4 games and played with youngsters). Now situation is better and in Clasura they start with lucky win vs Guabira with late goal. Well Oriente Petrolero have to play two playoff games(vs Nacional Montevideo, first leg on 29.01)) for qualification in Copa Libertadores 2014 which for now is their main goal. Oriente wanted to postponed the visit vs Potosi ,but Potosi declined their offer.
And because of that for the trip to Potosi coach will put again all youngsters +2 reserve players and only 1 player which can call as regular.
The squad is:
goalkeeper Alex Arancibia 0/0 23years( last year with only 45min play),defender Pedro Laserna 4/0 youngster under19y, defender Ronny Montero 7/0 reserve 22y.,defender Gustavo Olguin 4/0 youngster under19y, df. Ruben Carballo 2/0 reserve 22y.,midfielder Ronald Garcia 6/0 33years( he isback after more than 3 months without play ,he is not in best conditions), midf. Carlos Serrano 3/0 youngster 20years old, striker Diego Rodriguez 1/0 youngster 20years old, midfielder Fernando Saucedo 16/0 23years old(,the only one regular player) and both strikers Rodrigo La Fuente 4/0 youngster under19 and Elder Cuellar 4/0 youngster 19years old.
Even head coach send his assistent to lead the team for this game.All main players and coach Silva stayed in Santa Cruz and prepare for the important game in Libertadores.
We all know what happened last year when Oriente Petrolero played with youngsters....they was just crashed in every game..they lost 4-0 against weak Sport Boys(not on altitude) and 6-1 in the visit vs Wilsterman(on 2500m altitude) ...in these games the asian line was -1.75 with 1.80-1.90 odds ,so what to expect now when all this youngsters have to play in Potosi on 4000m altitude.Also the trip to Potosi is very long. The team start travel in Friday to Sucre on air,will sleep there and then in saturday they will travel to Potosi with bus(will come there few hours before the start of the game).That is hard trip and players will be tired for sure ...furthermore these youngsters are not prepared to play and have not played games on such high altitude (where the conditions are too difficult to run) ,so I expect Oriente kids to collapse after even first half and to allow a lot of goals.
Nacional Potosi want to made first win for the seasson and this is perfect chance to make good goal differnce against squad mostly of youngsters.Fair line should be again -1.75 or even higher to -2 with @1.80 odds.IMO ML will be @1.10 again as last times.Just big quality difference here.I expect Nacional to score more than 4 goals.High stakes.GL!
Nacional Potosi -1.5 @2.80 ====8/10 sportingbet and many locals
also SBOBET open totally wrong line -0.75 ..now only 1.56