足球推介-莫探员【欧洲来料】玻利甲秋:國民波托西 VS 奧利恩特

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足球推介-莫探员【欧洲来料】玻利甲秋:國民波托西 VS 奧利恩特

 

玻利甲秋 1-26 03:30 國民波托西 - 奧利恩特 推荐国民波托西

两队都是海拔高度不一的所在城市,7 draws since 2011....

主队上年最后一战,战胜玻利瓦尔,获得南球杯参赛资格进步巨大(南球杯=欧霸杯,但球队既可以参加自由杯,又可以参加南球杯),而上一场对强者,表演有板有眼,中楣中柱可惜就系唔入。

客队奥利恩特,上赛季last 4场全香皆因,无粮出主力球员罢赛,清一色采用青年军。新赛季开波第一场作客3-2好幸运绝杀瓜比拉。

跟住落嚟就系,1月29日,要同蒙特维多国民队打一场自由杯资格赛(坐阵主场),争取2014自由杯的入场券,奥利恩特就马上同国民波托西话要延期,但当然遭到国民波托西的拒绝。 例牌噶啦,南美波通常都是自由杯大战前一场全部上青年军,已经成为习俗,现时主教练表示派全青年军+2名后备,当中仅有1名算是常规球员。

由于Santa Cruz同Potosi(海拔4k) 距离很远必须搭飞机,之后仲要熬巴士,所以连主教练施华Silva都唔去,派个助手去就算啦,挨义气啦~!

 

Bolivia

Nacional Potosi - Oriente Petrolero

In last season Nacional Potosi beat Bolivar 1-0 and with that they qualify for Copa Sudamericana which was great sucsess.Now they start Clasura with two minimal losses but both was against the best teams and main favorites for the title(both in La Paz vs Bolivar and The Strongest).They have same squad from Apertura and even bought some good players like defender Dury(ex regular defender in San Jose).Last game Nacional played vs The Strongest and Nacional performance was very good ,they created a lot of chances ,hit the post but failed to scored despite its the good play.

In end of Apertura Oriente Petrolero had big financial problems(main players was on strike in last 4 games and played with youngsters). Now situation is better and in Clasura they start with lucky win vs Guabira with late goal. Well Oriente Petrolero have to play two playoff games(vs Nacional Montevideo, first leg on 29.01)) for qualification in Copa Libertadores 2014 which for now is their main goal. Oriente wanted to postponed the visit vs Potosi ,but Potosi declined their offer.

And because of that for the trip to Potosi coach will put again all youngsters +2 reserve players and only 1 player which can call as regular.

The squad is:

goalkeeper Alex Arancibia 0/0 23years( last year with only 45min play),defender Pedro Laserna 4/0 youngster under19y, defender Ronny Montero 7/0 reserve 22y.,defender Gustavo Olguin 4/0 youngster under19y, df. Ruben Carballo 2/0 reserve 22y.,midfielder Ronald Garcia 6/0 33years( he isback after more than 3 months without play ,he is not in best conditions), midf. Carlos Serrano 3/0 youngster 20years old, striker Diego Rodriguez 1/0 youngster 20years old, midfielder Fernando Saucedo 16/0 23years old(,the only one regular player) and both strikers Rodrigo La Fuente 4/0 youngster under19 and Elder Cuellar 4/0 youngster 19years old.

Even head coach send his assistent to lead the team for this game.All main players and coach Silva stayed in Santa Cruz and prepare for the important game in Libertadores.

We all know what happened last year when Oriente Petrolero played with youngsters....they was just crashed in every game..they lost 4-0 against weak Sport Boys(not on altitude) and 6-1 in the visit vs Wilsterman(on 2500m altitude) ...in these games the asian line was -1.75 with 1.80-1.90 odds ,so what to expect now when all this youngsters have to play in Potosi on 4000m altitude.Also the trip to Potosi is very long. The team start travel in Friday to Sucre on air,will sleep there and then in saturday they will travel to Potosi with bus(will come there few hours before the start of the game).That is hard trip and players will be tired for sure ...furthermore these youngsters are not prepared to play and have not played games on such high altitude (where the conditions are too difficult to run) ,so I expect Oriente kids to collapse after even first half and to allow a lot of goals.

Nacional Potosi want to made first win for the seasson and this is perfect chance to make good goal differnce against squad mostly of youngsters.Fair line should be again -1.75 or even higher to -2 with @1.80 odds.IMO ML will be @1.10 again as last times.Just big quality difference here.I expect Nacional to score more than 4 goals.High stakes.GL!

Nacional Potosi -1.5 @2.80 ====8/10 sportingbet and many locals

also SBOBET open totally wrong line -0.75 ..now only 1.56

 

 

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