足球推介-莫探员【欧洲来料】波蘭甲：蘇瓦烏基 VS 馬特斯

波蘭甲 5-17 01:00 [10]蘇瓦烏基 - 馬特斯[12]

上次讲咗一队LKS疑似打假波，特登输波，点知佢就场场赢波，不过当中讲咗LKS无资格打欧战就确是事实。

而家又系波兰甲来料的时候啦，主队同客队而家分数尚算安全无咩太大压力，但明显两队都是靠主场揾吃的球队。而主队也许得益于其地理位置在波兰的东北部一个角落头，其他队伍必须要通过一条至少400km的道路进入“角落头”，有且只有一条，华山一条路。主场8-4-2，近6主场全win，仅失2球。

而今晚客队要通过600km one way 作客去到苏瓦乌基。

参考：蘇瓦烏基

Suwalki vs Miedz Legnica

Both teams look pretty safe in the table but a very strong home record vs very weak away form doesn't seem to be being accounted for in the odds, so I'll take Wigry Suwalki draw no bet.

Wigry at home are a very strong team, its no surprise their home record is far better than their away record given that Suwalki is in the far north east corner of Poland and almost every team has travel a minimum 400km one way to get there which can take a long time given the poor state of the roads in these smaller towns.

Wigry have won their last 6 home matches while conceding only 2 goals, overall this season Wigry have lost only 2/14 on home solid and have made it a fortress in their first season at this level. Wigry are unbeaten in 6 overall and lost just 2/10 in 2015 with losses coming at 1st and 4th place in the league.

Miedz Legnica on the other hand are down in 11th and although officially 4 points clear of a relegation play off spot, the news today was that Flota Swinoujscie have folded from the league so 1 less team will be relegated so they're pretty much safe now. Their form isn't good going 1-1-3 from their last 5, that 1 victory at home vs crisis club Flota.

Miedz have won only 3/14 away games and lost 9/14. It's also a huge distance between the two cities over 600km one way. Wigry have proved very strong at home this season and I really cant see an away win. The draw no bet cover is playing at safe but I do fancy a home win.

莫探员欧洲来料承诺大家永远免费，欧洲来料分“参考”和“推荐”两个级别

莫探员微博：http://weibo.com/detectivemok