120528莫探员【欧洲来料】,挪超友谊赛

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120528莫探员【欧洲来料】,挪超友谊赛

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120528莫探员【欧洲来料】,挪超友谊赛

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挪超 23:59  史达比克 - 利尼史特朗 参考客队 

Norway Tippeligaen: Stabaek vs Lillestrom
Stabaek have had big problems both on and off the field lately. Almost everyone in the squad is under 25 years old, which is the youngest squad in this year Tippeliga. The tragic death of young midfielder Gromstad some weeks ago came as a shock through whole Norway, and it has set some deep traces within the squad. Both young squad and the death og Gromstad has combined to the lack of results so far this season.
 

Stabaek has only 0-1-9 in their first ten games and 3-25 on goal difference. The three goals have been scored away from home, which means that Stabaek has only 0-1-4 at home and 0-11 on goal difference. Herman Stengel (midfield) is out during suspension.
 
Lillestrom has also been really disappointing this season. They got a new coach before this season with Magnus Haglund, and he used som big money. Petter Vagan Moen (former Brann and QPR) returned back from a catastrophic stay in Queens Park Rangers. He has not delivered quite the way it was meant to be and is out with a injury now. Luke Rodgers (former New York Red Bulls), Espen Nystuen (former Sandefjord) and Johan Andersson (former Stabaek) have been bought in, but it is just Nystuen that has delivered so far. Arild Sundgot (striker, long term injury) and Erik Midtgaarden have been out all season and are still missing.
 
Lillestrom has showed some form after loosing 3-4 against Brann at the 13th of May. They beated Viking (1-2) and Sogndal (1-0) after that, before a draw against Aalesund (0-0) last Wednesday. They have got their best player, Bjorn Bergmann Sigurdarson back into scoring goals, and he has produced 6 goals in his last 4 games now. The attention has increased when it comes to Sigurdarson, and both Wolverhampton and Everton were watching him during the game against Sogndal.

I must say that the odds is way to high here when we consider the circumstances that Stabaek is struggling with. Lillestrom has not been very convincing this season either, but have better players in every position. This is the last game before the summer-break in Norway, so this is the last opportunity for Sigurdarson to make a good impression on the scouts before the summer window opens. Stabaek is by far the weakest team in Tippeligaen right now, and I pick Lillestrom to win 2.30@Expect which is a very good odds in my opinion.Pick : Lillestrom
Odds : 2.30
Stake : 8 / 10
Bookmaker : Expekt
Match Date : 28 May

 

主队史达比克深陷危机多时,欧洲各大媒体均已报道,且球队有青年军组成,全部小于25岁,故此0-1-9成绩不足为奇。客队利尼史特朗今季开大个水喉,又请来新教头Magnus Haglund,而且队中最佳射手Bjorn Bergmann Sigurdarson近4仗入6球,攻力有保证。在summer-break前最后一战,必须搏命。

 

挪超 01:00  特罗素 - 白兰恩 参考主队 
Norway Tippeligaen: Tromso vs Brann
Tromso has 5-3-3 in their first 11 games of the season which takes them to a 5th place at the current table. It is already seven points up to the league leader Stromsgodset, so Tromso must get things back on track here in order to stay up within the best teams. They have been awful away with 0-2-3 and 4-10 on goal difference. Only Stabaek are weaker away from home and that says it all about were Tromso need to improve a lot. At home it is a totally different story though with 5-1-0 and 15-3 on goal difference. Their last two wins at home have been very convincing with victories against Vaalerenga (3-1) and Viking (5-1). They were quite good against Molde last Wednesday. Even if they lost 3-2 in the end, they could have got 1 point from that match, but Molde dealt with it. Kara (midfield, 9 games, 2 goals) will be missing during a red card suspension, while Thomas Kind Bendiksen (midfield, 7 games, 0 goals) is doubtful.
 
Brann has been the biggest disappointment together with Lillestrom so far this season. But they have had a good period after the win against Lillestrom (3-4) at the 13th of May (just like Lillestrom). Brann won against Sogndal (5-0), before loosing aganst Aalesund away from home (2-0) and finally a win against Fredrikstad (2-0) at home on last Wednesday. Brann have just 1-0-4 and 7-12 on goal difference away from home this year, and the away match against Tromso is one of the hardest in Tippeligaen. Kristoffer Barmen (midfield,striker, 8 games, 2 goals) and Tomasz Sokolowski (midfield, 2 games, 0 goals) are out with injuries. Important Rudolph Austin (midfield) will return after suspension.

Tromso are very strong at their home stadium Alfheim. As the table shows Tromso get their points at home, and with their poor performances on the road, Tromso must win their home games to stay among the top teams. Brann has disappointed very much away from home and they should get big problems in this match. They have trouble with the keeper position and they have used 17 year old Oystein Ovretveit in goal for the past two games. Ovretveit has done really well so far and is expected to play in this match also. However, he will get his biggest challenge yet against the 2nd best team at home in Norway right now, Tromso.Pick : Tromso
Odds : 1.70
Stake : 8 / 10
Bookmaker : Interwetten

 

主队特罗素为主场第二最佳球队,刚好今仗面对客场虫的白兰恩必须拿下才能保持前列争标位置。今季有两支球队令到当地球迷失望,一支是利尼史特朗,一支就系这支白兰恩,今仗更加有中场Kristoffer Barmen(8战,2球)缺阵,现时俱乐部门将缺人,只能采用17岁的门将 Oystein Ovretveit,从目前已经上阵两场的表现来看,是相当不错,故此今仗继续首发。

 

挪超 23:59  侯尼霍斯 - 莫迪 参考客队 
Soccer, Tippeligaen
Honefoss - Molde
Pick: Molde (AH -1.0)
Odds: 3.55
Bookie: Bet365

Molde is the defending champion of Norwegian Tippeligaen. Ole Gunnar Solskjaer's players after shaky begging of the season currently have been playing really well. They had won all last five mathces and currently are in the second place in the table, losing one point to Stromsgodset. On the other side newly promoted Honefoss is one of the revelation of this season. They had lost only two of their eleven games and conceded only eight goals in eleven games. Currently they are sixth in the league table. Despite that I expect that in the nearest future they will lose their high position. It's very often case that newly promoted teams surprise other top teams their ambition and will to fight. That's why they gain some points in the beggining of the season but later this surprising effect doesn't result so well. Moreover for Honefoss this will be their seventh game in three weeks and some of their players might be tired. Also their very important defender Kristjan Orn Sigurdsson is suspended and won't play. In my eyes reigning champions are stronger team with wider squad and they should take advantage of their experience. That's why I believe in guests victory and even win with at least two goal margin is very possible having in mind their very good scoring form.

苏斯克查的莫迪逐渐回复正轨,排第2名,正捍卫锦标的宝座。升班马的侯尼霍斯可谓升班以来交出一个好恐怖的数字,过去11战仅输2场,失8球,但对于目前3周7战的侯尼霍斯,前线情报透漏好可能会累,后防猛将Kristjan Orn Sigurdsson停赛缺阵。

 

友谊赛 02:00  乌克兰(中) - 爱沙尼亚 参考乌克兰 
International Friendlies: Ukraine vs Estonia

An easy bet for Monday. Ukraine are playing against Estonia in their preparations for Euro 2012. This is the most important tournament in the history of Ukrainian football. And they will want to be at top form when they face sides like France or England in their group stage. That's why they will be motivated to win this friendly game in order to gain more confidence. Ukraine already beat Estonia in October 2-0 in a friendly game. Ukraine won 4 out of their last 5 friendlies. The only game they drew was against Germany (0-0). Estonia played really good in their qualifying camapaign and reached play-offs at the expence of Serbia. But i think there will be no motivation for them here,and it is likely we will see some young players feature. Ukraine has a better team and a higher class of players. Expect Oleg Blokhin to line up a strong team and easily beat Estonia.Pick : Ukraine -1,5
Odds : 2.08
Stake : 10 / 10
Bookmaker : Bet365

对于过去5战4胜的乌克兰,对于必须小组赛面对德国、英格兰的乌克兰,故此必须全力冲。留意一位球员,Oleg Blokhin,有他上阵定必大大增强功力。 


 
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