121013莫探员【欧洲来料】，英甲英乙

【隆重宣布】#欧洲来料#《欧洲速递》会统计当天直播焦点赛事，把欧洲专业推介媒体的意见，推介比例等情况与球迷朋友分享。藉此帮助球迷朋友弄清大环境，以及外国专业推介媒体的方向~！good luck~！

英乙 22:00  巴拉福特 - 約克城 参考客队 
England League Two: Bradford vs York

These two teams are only three points far ( in favour of Bradford) on table and if York won only one time in last seven rounds, Bradford gained only one point in last three ones.

York was trashed 4-0 by Coventry ( a league above) in midweek cup match, but also if Bradford won, this result arrived at penalties, leaving players of hosts more tired.

More, there are various problems of line up for Bradford that leave the trainer with doubts on lineup for this match. Remain out key midf. G. Jones ( 9 1g) and Reid ( 10 1g), def. McArdle ( 10+1) is with his National Team, and defender Olivier ( the only defender that played all the matches til now) is in doubt

York has only two players doubtful, Walker ( striker 11 3g) and Doig ( def. 7+1), but also with these two possible missings, considering all the worries for hosts that i explained above, guests could gain at least one draw here

Pick : York
Odds : 2.03
Stake : 8 / 10
Bookmaker : Pinnacle

英甲 22:00  樸茨茅夫 - 克魯 参考大波 
Soccer, England, League 1
Portsmouth - Crewe
PICK: Over 2,5 @ 1,85
BOOKIE: SBObet

This pick is based on statistics and form. Portsmouth are becoming the over team lately. Their last 7 games went all over. 8 of their last 10 games ended over. They are scoring and receiving quite a lot. On the one hand they are quite capable to nicking in a few, but on the other hand their shaky defence is not to be trusted.
Crewe on the other tend to be an underish team. 7 of their last ten games ended under. Nevertheless, I am counting on the momentum here. Their last two games went over, mix in the scoring factor of Portsmouth and the fact that the last two meetings between the two teams went over (2-4, 2-1) and only two of their last five meetings went under, I can find value in betting the over 2,5 line here as a safer option. You could even take the O 3 line here. Imo odds should be around the 1,70s.