120513莫探员【欧洲来料】,羅甲法甲西甲

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120513莫探员【欧洲来料】,羅甲法甲西甲

 

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【隆重宣布】#欧洲来料#《欧洲速递》会统计当天直播焦点赛事,把欧洲专业推介媒体的意见,推介比例等情况与球迷朋友分享。藉此帮助球迷朋友弄清大环境,以及外国专业推介媒体的方向~!good luck~!

羅甲 00:30  華斯雷 - 學生體育 参考大波
2012-05-13  FC Vaslui  - Sportul  (13-05-2012 08:43 CET)

Since CFR won already and since local derby U-CFR will be played later this one it's a must win for Vaslui to keep in touch with leaders CFR.Sportul is 99% relegated and should be more relaxed here.This is kind of the same situation with yesterday's game Dinamo-Mioveni where a motivated team ,but using mixed squad due to up-coming derby with Steaua, met a relegated team, playing without pressure and it ended 4-1.

Vaslui also has a far more hard game to be plyed next round, in midweek again, against rivals Otelul, kind of big rivalry as of late so this should used also a mixed squad here, although they already have 2 regulars suspended: defender Constantin and creative midfielder Sanmartean, also Adailton is doubtful and most likely wont be forced, maybe used in second half if things dont go on Vaslui way.

Due to this i expect a more relaxed Vaslui, defense is always a weak point, especially when Farcas is involved so actually i'm hoping for Sportul to have chances in this game and to score eventually with a bit of luck.Vaslui is hot lately and even without Sanmartean and Adailton they have decent offensive weapons like Wesley, Temwanjera or young and talented Stanciu coming from bench.

Sportul plays for nothing and motivation should come in question here but like usually happens they might get motivated by money coming from Vaslui rivals.Sportul doesnt play nothing special this days, their defense is always a problem, but lately they didnt click offensivelly neither, although they did showed some glimpses of their potential, let's not forget that this team started crazy this second part of the season, winning at Dinamo and Ceahlaul, drawing with CFR but lately their poor condition, lack of money proved to be too much of a weight.But somehow they still managed to score in their late travels, like at Tg.Mures, Tg.Jiu or at U Cluj.

Pick: >2.5, Odds: 1.75, Stake: 9, Bookmaker: Unibet

根据历史往绩,当在赛季末段,但凡面对早已铁定降级队伍都能打出大球,例如上年的戴拿模VS米奥文尼(4-1)。而今仗无论是华斯雷的防守有问题,包括2名主力停赛:后卫Constantin和组织中场Sanmartean,当然从目前状态当旺的华斯雷来说火力依然旺盛,而客队的学生体育也并非无欲无求,事关华斯雷的竞争对手,颁发额外奖金给阻击华斯雷的俱乐部,言下之意,有钱有动力的非常实实在在的一战。

 

西甲 02:00  加泰 - 薩拉戈薩 参考客队
2012-05-13  Getafe  - Zaragoza  (13-05-2012 09:15 CET)

Zaragoza keeps their fate in their hands. They win in Getafe and they book their place in primera division. Getafe has been in vacations in the last two weeks starting from their home defeat to Mallorca. There is the possibility that Zara will stay in the division with a draw and this will happen if Rayo or Villarreal lost at home to Granada or Atletico Madrid respectively. Of course both Rayo and Villarreal will get relegated in that case so it is quite unlikely that this will happen. Rayo could be relegated even if they fail to win hosting Granada and Villarreal finds fatigue tied Atletico and it will be a suicidal act if they lose.

But I doubt that Zaragoza will get in troubles calculating all possible scenarios. It is the first time in the season that they have the opportunity to save the division with a victory and this was just a miracle two months ago. They will win and they will celebrate the salvation no matter what.

Zaragoza have bought already since Wednesday 4.000 tickets for the game and until kick off it is expected that the Zaragoza supporters who will be on the stands will be around 10.000! Getafe will play for their pride, the rest of the teams who are fighting to avoid relegation and for the 2.750.000 euros Zaragoza still owns them for Uche's transfer two years ago. Zaragoza offered players in return to pay that price in the past but Getafe rejected the offer and asked for cash. One of that players is Lafita, who will get in Getafe anyway in Jule as a free transfer... So now, If Zaragoza relegates then this money will get to Getafe automatically.

This fact must be the reason for the amazing odds rise in Zaragoza's away win, but is this a realistic reason to motivate Getafe's squad to win against Zaragoza, who are playing their existance? I doubt. Money for the team have never been a motivation for the players.

Getafe are without nine players, two of them long term. Cata Díaz, Juan Rodríguez (both suspended), Diego Castro, Gavilán, Ustari, Lopo, Alexis Ruano, Mané and Masilela (injured). Rafa and Valera are back. Zaragoza without already injured Aranda and Lanzaro.

Pick: A, Odds: 1.81, Stake: 9, Bookmaker: Pinnacle

大致上的基本面相信好多球迷都知道,当然亦包括主队加泰9人缺阵,莫探员把其也定为普遍的基本面。但凡一看到欧亚指数都发现降盘以及客win升高。事关倘若加泰能够战胜萨拉戈萨,将其降级的话,就会以超低价钱获得Lafita,因早前加泰已经拒绝萨拉戈萨的请求,必须要萨拉戈萨全额现金支付,当中的来龙去脉好难在文字上用三言两语一一阐述,但足以说明两队关系势成水火,至少起码今仗一定是。但周三根据欧洲来料情报,已经有4000张球票被萨拉戈萨抢购了,预计临场数字将会达到10000张。从足球经济学角度,萨拉戈萨为了275万欧元价值的西甲资格和已到手的球员,分量之重比起加泰更甚有之。再加上,加泰的球员早已提前2周放假,上层的斗争意欲很难在基层球员中严格执行。

 

法甲 03:00  阿些斯奧 - 里昂 参考主队
2012-05-13  Ajaccio (0)  - Lyon (0)  (13-05-2012 01:41 CET)

2 games left and Ajaccio is at the 17th place, not relegated but only at 2 points from it this is not a funny situation for them. But Ajaccio is a strong team at home they haven't lose a single game at home in 2012 last defeat was at 3rd December 2011 2-3 against Lille. Ajaccio always give the best at the first half of the season, it was a bit catastrophic they were the last with around 10 points behind the 19th who would imagine that they would still have chances to be saved ?

Nothing serious to say about Ajaccio this is a low level but well they can be able to make a surprise like the 1-1 in Lyon in August a win against Lyon would mean 99% in Ligue1 next season, it won't be so easy especially with the miss of the defender Medjani .

Lyon with 63 points now don't have any chance to catch the third place, and sure to finish at the 4th place. They played on thursday evening in Evian, not an easy game with tired players like Cris or Briand and two important players Michel Bastos and Ederson are still injured, Evian started very well and caused big problem to Lyon's defence, only problem is the motivation. It wasn't easy to motivate Evian's players as they were playing for nothing.
Today Ajaccio is playing for something very important, it's so important that all tickets at stadium will be free for the last game of Ajaccio in Ligue1.

More than a logic bet IMO , Ajaccio need to win, Lyon can't move from the 4th place and we have the DNB option with good value.

Pick: H, Odds: 2.35, Stake: 6, Bookmaker: Bet24

根据欧洲来料情报,阿些斯奥今晚all for free,男士女士老人小孩全部免费入场,此战亦为阿些斯奥主场最后一战,里昂被迫一周双赛,其实vs伊维恩被对手逼到有气无掟抖,只因伊维恩无欲无求太多放松才被里昂有机可成,但今晚阿些斯奥摆到明就是早有准备,来者不善。

 

法甲 03:00  巴黎聖日門 - 雷恩 参考主队
PSG - Rennes
PSG is in must win situation here in order to carry their title ambitions to the last round ot the Ligue 1 next weekend. Team is 3 points behind leaders Montpellier , which are playing at home against last season champions - Lille. Montpellier could loose some points against the strong team of Lille and PSG should flowing with confidence and motivation in this match. A result diffrent from a win , will mean that PSG will have to look for the next season. Thiago Motta is suspended and defender Milan Bisevac will miss due to injury.

Rennes have some super slim chances to qualify to League Europe , but have to win in the last 2 remaining matches and hope Lyon will lose their 2, which is almost impossible. The team suffer 2 straight losses and players are probably alredy without any motivation or confidence.
Pick : 1
Odds : 1.62
Stake : 10 / 10
Bookmaker : Stan James

 


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