120708莫探员【欧洲来料】,巴西甲瑞典超斯尼超盃友誼賽挪甲挪超

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120708莫探员【欧洲来料】,巴西甲瑞典超斯尼超盃友誼賽挪甲挪超

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120708莫探员【欧洲来料】,巴西甲瑞典超斯尼超盃友誼賽挪甲挪超

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巴西甲 03:00  聖保羅 - 哥列迪巴 参考主队 
Brazil Serie A: Sao Paulo vs Coritiba

Sao Paolo won all 3 league matches that they played at home this season. And all those matches ended with the same score of 1-0. They still did not concede at home. Sao Paolo have strong squad and the only missing was a quality coach. Resignation of Emerson Leao and Milton Cruz’s temporal replacement, the team showed difference as they turned back to their original system in the defense. Now they play with 3 at backs and thus they reinforced their midfield. This system helps Sao Paolo to create fast dangerous attacks.

I will not mention very much about away team Coritiba. They just played the first leg of Brazilian Cup Final with Palmeiras and on Wednesday they are playing the second leg. I know many players will not travel to Sao Paolo and the team consider midweek clash more than the league. A special note I want to bring in to attention is these 2 teams played quarter final at Cup and Coritiba was the qualifying side. The first leg was won by Sa Paolo 1-0 and second leg Coritiba managed to defeat by 2-0. This may be a revenge match for the home team as well.

Sao Paolo won last weekend at away against Cruzeiro and it is for sure they play much better with the new management. They are much more efficient in attacking ways. This match shoud be much easier than Cruzeiro victory. Coritiba will have concentration problems and key players will be rested. Bet on home team who did not concede in 3 home matches they played this season.
Pick : Sao Paolo AH -1.25
Odds : 2.03
Stake : 1 / 10
Bookmaker : Bet365

最近圣保罗教练Emerson Leao离队他投,由Milton Cruz暂执教鞭,令球队的技战术打法彻底改变,3-5-2阵式更有力的中场施压,更加凌厉的进攻。客队哥列迪巴今仗要为未来的巴西杯分心,故此今仗好多主力都不会出战,与此同时在角逐巴西杯期间圣保罗被哥列迪巴淘汰,今仗带有复仇味道。

瑞典超 00:30  艾夫斯堡 - 米贊比 参考主队 
Sweden Allsvenskan: Elfsborg vs Mjallby
Elfsborg are the current leaders in the league. In the midweek they've played a match from the Europa League , in witch they 've destroyed their opponents with 8:0. However though , they've lost their first match in the league after the break , against newcomers Atvidaberg with 5:1 and that was a huge defeat for the team and the distance between them and second place Malmo FF is now 5 points.

But Elfsborg play's traditionally hard on away games and their streghnt is at home. THey've played 6 games on their artificial grass stadium and manage to win them all.

Striker Amadou Jawo (11/2) is suspended for this match , while midfielder Oscar Hiljemark (12/0) and defender Stefan Larsson (9/0) are sidelined.

3 important players will miss the game, but still though i think Elfsborg will make what it takes and will gain the victory here.

Mjallby are on the 11-th place in the league with 3 wins , 7 draws and 3 losses. They will come in this match after 3 straight losses and surely the morale will be low.

The team will be without one of their main players who control the midfield and dictate the play of Mjallby - midfielder Dominique Kivuvu (13/3).

Mjallby plays traditionally bad when they visit Elfsborg. The last 2 times they've played on this stadium they even didn't manage to score a goal in both matches losing - 2:0 , 4:0.
Pick : Elfsborg
Odds : 1.50
Stake : 8 / 10
Bookmaker : Interwetten
Match Date : 8 Jul

主队艾夫斯堡最近的疯狂状态,估计好多球迷都清楚,但目前阵容不整的情况下(前锋Amadou Jawo (11/2)缺阵,中场Oscar Hiljemark (12/0)缺阵,后卫Stefan Larsson (9/0)缺阵),依然开出-1.25深盘。当然主队艾夫斯堡是属于典型主场龙球队,得益于其人造草球场。今仗客队米赞比有中场发动机Dominique Kivuvu (13/3)缺阵。

斯尼超盃 02:00  馬里博爾 - 奧林比查 推荐主队 
Soccer : Slovenia super cup
Match : Olimpija ***8211; NK Maribor
Pick : NK Maribor -1 EH @ 3,00
Bookie: Bwin

This is first regular match in Slovenia . League starts next week so this is like warm up but this teams are big rivals so this match will not be Friendly at all. Match will be played in Maribor but NZS(Slovenia football organization) put Olimpija for home team so in reality Maribor will play at home in front of home crowd. Maribor sport director put some gas on fire when he said that Olimpija dont deserve to play in supercup because they didnt show nothing in league and cup and that olimpija not have any trophy in showcases and have only posters on walls and that is not fair to put olimpija in supercup because Celje played in Cup against Maribor but they lost so Zahovic thinks this is unfair and he said that Maribor will do everything to prove that nzs made mistake . Maribor have same team like last year and their coach said that he is sure cup will stay in Maribor.Olimpija have manny new players in team they lost best player Vrsic .Another thing why i think Maribor will win this match is if game ends draw immediatley will be penaltis so i think Maribor will try to win before penalties .I will try here handicap win because for me Maribor is much better team they will play at home and will try to win 1st trophy in new season in front of home fans.

Probable line up: Handanovi***269;, Meja***269;, Arghus, Raj***269;evi***269;, Trajkovski, Ibraimi, Mertelj, Cvijanovi***269;, Mezga, Tavares, Velikonja.

Probable line up: D***382;afi***269;, Jovi***269;, Sretenovi***269;, Zarifovi***269;, Salki***269;, Ivelja, Trifkovi***269;, Vicente, Radujko, ***352;porar, Nikezi***269;.

今仗带有非常浓重的火药味,历史上的世仇俱乐部,赛前马里博尔体育部总监公然发出挑衅,“话奥林比查完全未够班同我队波打超级杯,无历史荣誉,联赛无表现,杯赛无表现”,事实的确是这样,奥林比查丧失了最佳球员Vrsic,今年入了一大批新仔。今仗球迷朋友必须要注意两点:第一,马里博尔有主场之利(每年轮筹决定),第二,今仗倘若90分钟打和的话,就马上进入互射12码。

 

友誼賽 20:30  巴素利(中) - 標準列治 参考巴素利 
Club Friendly
Basel - Standard Liege
pick: 1
odds: 2
bookie: bet365

Basel will play their last game before the new season against Standard, who will have just played their first friendly against Grasshoppers a day before. Basel lost important player Shaquiri during the mercato but they still remain favorites to win the league. Their friendly games were so- so but now it is the right time to boost themselves before the season start.

Standard played only against the amateur side Geants Athois so far, winning 4-0. They are at the beginning of the preparations, having arrived to Switzerland only yesterday. They have strengthened themselves this summer, signing Ajdarevic, Bulot and Ogunjimi but they are still far from being prepared for the new season. Coach Ron Jans said he will use the games against Grasshoppers and Basel to implement his 4-3-3 system and travelled with 26 players from where he will chose his roster.

Ron Jans acknowledged that the opponents are superior in preparations and that he is not interested by the result and just hoping to see his players perform well.

Basel will have the upper hand, not being inferior to their opponents quality wise and being much better prepared. The opening odds for their win are very valuable in my eyes.

双方阵容实力等等情况可以排除在外,今仗推介其实落在四点:第一,今仗对于巴素利嚟讲是开咧前最后一战;第二,标准列治赛前一日刚刚到步;第三:标准列治友赛才刚刚开始,他们第一仗对手是一支业余球队;第四:标准列治教练Ron Jans宣传会26人去瑞士,并且采用4-3-3阵式,预期演练居多,并无过重的必胜心理。

 

挪甲 23:59  特林達倫 - 薩普斯堡 参考客队 
Norway Adeccoleague
TROMSDALEN - SARPSBORG
Pick AWAY WIN - SARPSBORG TO WIN
Odds 1.90 at Betsafe

Odds are dropping on away win due several missing in Tromsdalen. But lets look to the situation here. Both teams are at the top of this league, Tromsdalen on 6th place with 17 points, Sarpsborg on 4th place with 21 points.
In last season, Sarpsborg played in Tippeleague, norwegian first league, Tromsdalen played in 3th league where dominated and made progress to Adeccoleague at the end of season.

Sarpsborg lost some important players in this season, but still have some players with big experience in Norwegian top football. So in this moment both teams are looking to take one of first two places for promotion to tippeleague. But let us be realistic, Sarpsborg have some chances for that, but small team as Tromsdalen can only dream about that. I think that they were lucky until this round and here will must improve great performance to take victory against strong team as Sarpsborg is. But Tromsdalen have several missings in their team.

Tromsdalen will be here without one of the best players, defender Eirik Bertheussen (played 10 of 11 games so far). He was not playing in last game when Tromsdalen won 2-1 away against Sandefjord. It was strange result, one big surprise. Also Havard Lysvall (midfielder, played 9 of 11 games so far, scored three goals) and Reidar Waage (attacker, played 10 of 11 games, scored one goal) played not that game against Sandefjord away in last week. So coach Gaute Helstrup may not risk any of them in this game against Sarpsborg if he doesnt wont one player with long term injure problems.

But that is not all. In this week injured also Lars Gunnar Johnson (midfielder,played all 11 games), Jonas Johansen (defender, played 10 of 11 games, score three goals), Christer Johnsgard (attacker, played 8 of 11 games, 0 goals) and Frederik Allertsen (midfielder, played 3 games, 0 goals). Also coach of Tromsdalen wanted to delay this game due big injure problems. He said that they have only 17 players and 7 of them is injured. But his aplication was rejected and this game will be played at 18.00 on Sunday. So coach Helstrup will need to use some junior players.

As we can see here, Tromsdalen can play this game without several important players. Even if they play with full team, it is big question could they win against Sarpsborg.

Sarpsborg have 4-0-1 away in this season and playing away is not big problem for Roar Johansens team. They tok only one point in last two league games (lost 1-2 against Ullensaker Kisa and frew 2-2 against Bryne). Sarpsborg have not problems with injured players. One of best players Martin Wiig came from injure and made new contract for Sarpsborg and that is great news for this team.

Sarpsborg will also have big support in North Norway because one part of their supporters allready traveled to Tromsdalen and they will support Sarpsborg at TUL Arena tomorow.

Sarpsborg won 4 of last 5 games against Tromsdalen and this clearly show balance between this two teams. I think that away team is favorite here and i expect that they win this game. My pick is Sarpsborg to win

今仗英文推油过长,又接近胜爸催吃饭时间,简单归纳几点啦,主队特林达伦由第三级别升上嚟挪甲,客队萨普斯堡喺挪超输到扑街的情况下跌落嚟,但烂船始终是烂船,加上今仗主队特林达伦多名主力缺阵,新十字军:后卫Eirik Bertheussen (played 10 of 11 games so far),中场Havard Lysvall (midfielder, played 9 of 11 games so far, scored three goals) ,前锋Reidar Waage (attacker, played 10 of 11 games, scored one goal) 。

 

挪超 23:59  奧特格寧蘭 - 侯格辛特  参考客队
League: Soccer Norway - Tippeligaen
Match: Odd Grenland - Haugesund
Pick: Haugesund AH +0
Odd: @ 2.00
Bookmaker: SBObet
I chose this Sunday's match because i think that there is a value bet. I see a victory of Haugesund.
I am very interested by this match for several reasons:
- the two teams met four days ago in NM Cup and Haugesund won away 0-2
- Haugesund is ranked 3rd while Odd Grenland is ranked 10th, it represents a difference in level of play significantly between the 2 teams.
- Haugesund is currently in good shape: the last 5 games is 3w-2d-0l and has lost only once since the championship began.
- Odd Grenland hasn't been so efficient recently: 1w-1d-3l.

I think the match tonight will be the same as Wednesday.
That's why I pick Haugesund with an asian handicap +0 for safety.

两队今季级数实力分野从积分榜已经获悉,此外NMcup杯赛上,2日前侯格辛特早已2-0胜出,再论两队的实力状态走势上客队同样占优。

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