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今期节目由@莫探员 独家呈献!



奧甲 8-4 22:30 格拉茨 - 維也納迅速

Sturm Graz vs Rapid Vienna

After a two losses at home Sturm will face Rapid again at home in Sundays top game of Bundesliga.

Before the season I estimated Sturm as a team to fight for the EL places in Bundesliga, but after the bad performance in the last games they won´t get this place. Last Thursday Sturm lost vs Breidablik from Iceland at home. The teams sometimes seems to be not a real unit and after last games the media sees a upcoming crisis for Sturm.

Sturm was the weakest team in second half last season and football experts claim, that this crisis never ended and there is a big mistake in building up the new system with new players and new coach. The performance from the bad game vs Breidablik continued last Sunday vs Grodig (last year promoted from Erste Liga).

In this game, especially in the first half Grodig had far more possession and there were not big chances on both sides, except once, Beric hit the post. In 2nd half Sturm also had just a few chances and but the strikers and midfield are not really connected. The problem also is, that coach Milanic wants the players to fit in his system. but in todays football the coach has to adapt his system to the plyers available.

Rapid is in a time of building up a new team with more young player and not many new transfers as the director have to save money. Although of this fact there was bought Petsos CDM from Greuther Furth and GK Radlinger from Hannover. Also some young players from the Academy and second team raised to 1st team.

After the out in Cup against third league team LASK their were some discussions about they new way but the result against WR. Neustadt on Saturday, were Rapid won 4-0 the mood is much better again.

I don´t usually bet on Rapid cause I can´t be objective as a Rapid fan, but this is more a bet against Sturm.





巴西甲 8-5 03:00 甘美奧 - 國際體育會

Gremio vs Internacional

So , this is a famous classico in Brazil that called Gre-Nal.

Gremio plays at home and they have home advantage and of course more number of fans. Last home match they won 2x0 for Fluminense but then they had a match against Corinthians in Sao Paulo , where they lost 0x2 , they were really poor in that match. But the most important fact why I decided to put on Internacional is that 2 key players of Gremio are missing this classico. The head coach of Gremio , Renato can't count on such players like Ze Roberto and Vargas , they both got injured after last match against Corinthians. I have nothing more to add because without these 2 important players Gremio will look poor in classico.

By other hand we have the team of Internacional. They looked poor in their last match against Nautico in Recife , where they lost 0x3 away. The team of Nautico played very well and Internacional had some changes in the squad because their head coach Dunga wanted to keep some important players before the classico. But now they will play classico which is very important. They have no missings for this match. Also it's possible debut of Ignacio Scocco.

This is should the possible squad of Internacional for this match: Muriel: Ednei, Indio, Juan and Kleber; Willians, Josimar, Jorge Henrique and D’Alessandro; Diego Forlan and Leandro Damiao.

I do not know what can happen that Internacional to lose this classico. I will put Internacional DNB but anyway there is still some risk that the stake can be returned because the draw is also very possible here.

Pick : Internacional DNB Odds : 2.35 Stake : 3 / 10

甘美奥VS国际体育会系南美最火爆最血腥的比赛之一,巴西人称为:“Gre-Nal”,取其: Grêmio Foot-Ball Porto Alegrense e Sport Club Internacional的一头一尾,首次Gre-Nal打吡在1909年,至今已经是百年老字号。(PS:球迷们反而更加当其是一个Festival)

甘美奥已经连续7个主场不败(巴西甲、1南球杯),but今仗甘美奥主教练Renato连拿度脑爆,Ze Roberto和Vargas缺阵(上场同时受伤),佢哋嘅缺阵就好似《环太平洋》嘅Jaeger(德文,Hunter的意思),即系嗰只高达,其中一只Jaeger,父子嗰只叫Striker Eureka,同强袭高达个名就对上咗,呢部片同时cross 咗好多日本嘅元素,例如Kaiju(日本,怪兽一词的来源),架妹啦(条女嘅发型同凌波女神系一样噶),仲有,架式打斗。




俄超 8-5 00:30 庫班 - 莫斯科斯巴達

Kuban-Spartak vs. both to score

I see a good chance for BTS here. Kuban scored in all 4 official games this season, even against Rubin and Zenit and traditionally play good at home. Their attacking players Popov and Balde showed an excellent form against Scottish club in the Europa League, moreover Kuban have famous striker Djibril Cisse now who can score against each opponent. Kuban have scored at least once in 12 home games last season (15 home games played).

Spartak play good this season, especially in attack. They are very motivated and won all 3 games, although still didn´t play against top teams. Yes, their defence with Bocchetti looks more solid than we used to see in previous seasons, but still far from being excellent. If they want to achieve serious results they need to stregthen their defensive line. I´m more optimistic considering their attack - two strong strikers and a lot of good attacking midfielders, including newcomers Tino Costa and Ozbiliz. They didn´t manage to score only in 2 away games last season.

So, I think both teams will score today - their attack work good, but I can´t trust Spartak´ defence, at the same time even Kuban´ defence and talented gk will have difficulties against visitors attacking power.

主队上季15个主场有12场开咗斋,目前场场开斋,客队都是一样场场开斋,仲要场场作客赢波,势头一时无两。主队对嘅对手颇具分量嘅卡山鲁宾,辛尼特,言和1-1,而佢哋咁出色嘅发挥好大程度上要多谢前锋Popov波波夫 and Balde波特,呢两名球员唔系最主力,而最主力嗰个D·Cisse,就真系场场都有货交,



羅甲 8-4 23:59 科羅納巴索夫 - 普洛耶什蒂

The new promoted Corona Brasov will meet Astra who succed excelent results so far in Liga 1 and also in EL.Corona lost both of their games, being one of the candidate for relegation this season imo.Corona didnt succed to score so far despite the fact they have meet 2 average teams from Liga 1, Otelul and the new promoted Ceahlaul.Corona will miss Rodriguez and Popa and probably Bus.

Astra is one of the "hotest" teams in Liga 1, they succed to win 4-0 against Viitorul and also to eliminate Omonia Nicosia and Domzale.Astra won also at Trencin in first round with 3-1 and they have took an serious options for the next round.Budescu is excellent those days and his goals recomand him fot the NT.Astra will miss Yahaya and Bukari.
I trust Astra will not have problemes against one of the weakest teamas in Liga 1 and they shouldnt miss the 3 points here.I rate here the AW with almost maximum stake as i rarely use maximum.The odds are ok and anything above 1.70 is worth GL!

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