160117【莫探员】智Talk球探,利物浦VS曼联,史笃城VS阿仙奴

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智Talk球探11

今期节目由@莫探员 独家呈献!

公众微信:dmok007 莫探员QQ:56007720点击我吧

 

  

恭喜发财,新年快乐,旗开得胜,QQ精神……我终于翻嚟同大家吹下水,倾下女,今晚买边支队……

 

英超 1-17 22:05 [9]利物浦 - 曼聯[6] -0.25 2.25

近年最难预测的一次双红会,利物浦三线作战,喺圣诞快车档期至到而家,2主4客,英联杯半决赛2回合以及足总杯重赛,无疑令到防线伤兵满营的红军雪上加霜。周中一战,双方都是3-3,但利物浦要vs阿仙奴耗费更大精气神。

曼联竟然喺我去完澳洲翻嚟之后,仲未炒云戈尔,咁最大的原因梗系未揾到适合的人选,一直比人叼佢用人调度唔合理,下下FIFA online的漫画做晒主角,不过近期对云戈尔的批评声音少咗dd啦,朗尼有翻波入,状态又有所回升,似乎经历过风浪之后,睇下系咪迎来曙光……

呢场的胜负真系相当难估,因为你完全唔知道,高普会比d咩惊喜你,而云戈尔又唔知会比到d咩惊吓你……

高普之所以咁得人喜欢,皆因“强中自有强中手,场场都有大波收”,vs枪手3-3,之前客场vs曼城、车仔,又4-1、3-1。

ok,fine 云戈尔听大家话,打攻势足球,所以条后防线就经常甩漏。

不过今晚天气唔系几好,有雨,所以个盘做2.25,大家睇车过马路啦……

咁其实再谂深一层,又好似真系对利物浦不利,目前红军无咗古天奴,打个无锋阵,更多依赖的就系体能,好明显的vs阿仙奴头20分钟,仲系雄赳赳,硬bangbang,之后体能下降就ock oh~~

而似乎朗尼的复苏对红魔来得更加意义重大……

另外有个数据大家都可以去关注下,今晚个执法裁判Mark Clattenburg,

In his career (257 matches) he's given 839 yellow cards and 42 red cards, this gives an average of 3,26 yellow cards pr match, and only 0,16 red cards.

而就今季英超一d big game,比牌数都是偏低,欧冠同样都是咁,所以双红会肯定游戏数字往往向上抬的时候,睇睇今晚的天气、同裁判执法风格,细牌会否是一个笋盘

 

 

英超 1-18 00:15 [7]史篤城 - 阿仙奴[1]

而另外一场英超,请恕小弟才疏学浅,阿仙奴作客史笃城真系只能买史笃城……今季仲要保持翻相对较好的防守天赋之余,攻击力进步得好多,你哋都好少见到1-0主义。最近个英超主场又5场赢4场……周中,轻轻松松大部分时间vs诺域治打多人哋一个。

但有一个点无可否认,倘若作为阿仙奴fans嘅你哋,阿仙奴目前咁嘅状态系最有机会打破魔咒的时候,

但我都系会睇翻史笃城,阿仙奴近期的英超作客胜率不高……

 

 

接下落嚟,就系一d欧洲来料,不过我无好认真研究佢哋,同埋都唔算d乜特别嘢,就放在智Talk球探环节同大家分享啦……

 

荷甲 1-17 21:30 [8]高寧根 - 烏德勒支[7] 0

有简略的讲解,大家请上网站听节目啦

Groningen FC vs Utrecht

FC Groningen are undefeated at the Euroborg the first half of the season, with 20 points from 8 home games they are ranked in 4th place on the home table just behind the big 3. They have only conceded 5 goals so far at home which ranks their defense on a second place for home teams just one goal more than Feyenoord who conceded 4. The hosts have a good team with a good mix of youth and experience, coach Van de Looi is doing a good job and he will try to qualify for European football once again at the end of the season. Just recenty they have acquired a new striker who will start this after against FC Utrecht, Alexander Sorloth who played for Bodo /Glimt (13 goals in 26 games) the first half of the season. He will replace the injured Mimoun Mahi for the time being.

FC Utrecht have the same number of points as FC Groningen after 17 games played, 26. But since this game is not played at their own Galgenwaard we will take a look at their away record. There we can see that from the 26 points they have so far this season, only 8 came from away games with a minus 5 goal difference. For this game they have a few players that cannot play due to an injury, those players are forward Nacer Barazite, defenders Sean Klaiber and Kevin Conboy and midfielders Willem Janssen, Rubio Rubin and Jeff Hardeveld. So coach Erik ten Hag will have to come up with an alternative lineup for this game. But there is some positive news for the visitors also, as striker Sebastien Haller (11 goals) will be travelling with them to the Euroborg as he wasn’t signed by Norwich City earlier this week.

For this game we will be playing the +0.5 for the home team, as mentioned before they are still undefeated at their own stadium with a plus 10 goal difference and just 5 goal conceded. They have almost no players that will miss today’s game, and the one who is, is already replaced by a new player from the Norwegian Tippeligaen. The visitors have only won 2 away games in the first half of the season, and it shows there’s a big difference to play them at home or away. In the last 10 games where FC Groningen welcomed FC Utrecht, the visitors managed to win just twice while the men in green won 6 times and there have been 2 draws. FC Utrecht will miss a hand full of players, so I will be surprised if they are able to play a decent game against a team who plays very well at home and who have a lot of players who are dangerous in front of the goal. This is an important game as both teams are looking to finish on a Europe League playoff spot, but with the support of the home fans I think they are able to climb one or two position. Heracles and NEC Nijmegen are still in a European playoff spot right now but it is not likely they will be able to hold on to that. Looking at the halftime stats we see that FC Utrecht was able to be in the lead in 2 out of their 9 away games, while FC Groningen was behind twice but always was able to make up for it in the second half.

 

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西甲 1-17 19:00 [11]華倫西亞 - 華歷簡奴[19] -1

有简略的讲解,大家请上网站听节目啦

Valencia vs Vallecano

Game round 20. Valencia is in 11th place with 23 points (5 8 6 23:19), and the last 8 league games did not win (5 draws and 3 lose), of which 4 at home (all draw), while Rayo is on 19th plave with 15 points (4 3 12 21:43) and the last 8 league games did not win (2 draws and 6 loses).

For the host of this match will not play Diego Alves (third goalkeeper, 0), Feghouli (mid, 10/1), Enzo Pérez (mid, 9), Gaya (def, 12) and Javi Fuego (mid, 15), while is questionable André Gomes (mid, 12/2).

As for the guests, they are in big trouble on the composition of the team, which is the biggest reason for such poor results. On this match will not play the first goalkeeper Tono (10), Yoel (second goalkeeper, 6), who came on loan from Valencia and the contract can not play against his team's fourth goalkeeper David Coben (0),

suspended Javi Guerra (att, 17/9, topscorer), Antonio Amaya (def, 9/1), Razvan Rat (def, 8) and Patrick Ebert (mid, 9),

questionable Diego Llorente (def, 17/1). On the goal will be the third goalkeeper Juan Carlos (5).

Valencia has not lost at home (3 6 0 14 7) in their stadium, while Rayo second worst team on the results were on the road (1 1 7 10:27).

Therefore, I hope that Valencia take advantage of problems with the guests and achieve victory.

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土超 1-17 19:30 [8]里澤士邦 - 真格拿拜列治[16]

哈哈,呢场连讲解都无,大家睇英文啦,不过都是d基本嘢

Rizespor vs Genclerbirligi

A short preview about a tip I've noticed in the Turkish league. The tip isn't from my most knowledgable leagues but I am willing to take a chance here. However, there is outstanding value so I am confident that we can find ourselves another winner here.

Hosts Rizespor currently sit comfortably in mid table and will look to try and force their way into the European places. Managed by the Besiktas legend Riza Çamlibay the club are on a sound footing and are punching above their weight. They come into this match after two back to back wins against Aydinspor in the Turkish cup but also defeated highly rated Basaksehir in the last round of games before the Turkish league broke up for a winter break. They have solid home form with a record of 4 wins, 3 draws and two defeats. That said they're undefeated at home since October and have won three of their last four home league matches.

Rizespor host Ankara side Geçlerbirligi who despite strong traditions and a decent following are struggling at the wrong end of the league table. They come into the game having picked up one point on the road so far all season having lost their other seven away games. They are not showing any signs of improving either and have not scored a goal in their last four away games. In fact it's worth noting that they've only scored four goals away from home all season. The visitors come into this match on the back of a run of no wins in their last 8 games home or away. Genclerbirligi have also conceded at least one goal in each of their last 7 games and when we think that they can't score this is a recipe for disaster...or in our case a recipe for success!

Granted, this isn't a tip from my own back yard but I have friends and family in Turkey who have assured me that anything other than a home win in this early kick off will be a surprise so I am happy to back the home side for a rare bet in turkey on my behalf.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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