歐冠盃 4-25 02:45 多蒙特 - 皇家馬德里 0 2.75 10.5 -0.5 4.5 +0.5
但系，同是天涯沦落人，今晚个镜头，在这伤心者通道上同行，Borussia have lost the league way too early just like Real,
至今到到目前为止，真系实力上存在目前分野，都真系晋级成功。现时晋级赔率多蒙特2.80 vs 皇马1.48。
有人攞马拉加嚟做衡量实力的天平，亦都有人Borussia played twice against this "incredibly in form" Bayern team in Allinanz Arena and drew 1-1 and lost 0-1
altogether they are able to produce over 125 km within 90 minutes (it is usually between 105-118 km)
as move very fast from defense to offense in big numbers with a single long ball to Lewandowski who is good at blocking and heading duals.
In my opinion the couple of games in the group between the two teams mean that they have learned some lessons about each other (and we, the bettors, can learn from it too).
-first, is the fact that most of Real opportunities in both games came when Dortmund pressed too agressively, and pushed their back line too high up. Real did what they do best (especially Ronaldo)- sending quick balls behind the defence and breaking Dortmund's line.
(Ronaldo's goals at Germany became because of that).
- second, when Real attacked, Dortmund narrowed the game and made it very hard to pass and create at the center of the field.
- (3) Real didn't build their attacks from deep, and many times it was the Madrid two CB who tried to came forward and open space, so lesson 2 became effective.
- as for lesson 3, beacuse Real played with too many players high sometimes, Dortmund scored. Because Dortmund love to play quick attacks with high tempo and spaces to exploit. (like the two goals they scored in Madrid, or the first against Malaga).
so, in group stages the two teams conceded and scored many against each other, because in my opinion teams tend to attack more. In the group stages it less matter how many goals you concede and if it's at your home ground or away, its about who wins and taking the 3 points. But at the knocout stages, every goal has a bigger value, and teams tend to be quite more cautious.
Malaga defended quite deep against dortmund in germany, and It was difficult to the germans playing like that cause they couldn't bring their high tempo action in play. I believe Real will play also depper that before.
After the teams learned the lessons about each other, I think we would see quite more defensive approach from both sides. I can't decide who will win this one (I tend to go more on the spanish side) but I believe both teams would make it much more harder to score.
Under 2.5 looks great for me with great odds of 2.20
Also a 0-0 draw at Half- Time is quite tempting for 4.50