130425【莫探员】智Talk球探,欧冠杯足球推介

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130425【莫探员】智Talk球探,欧冠杯足球推介

今期节目由@莫探员 独家呈献!

节目下载地址:百度网盘

 

你有美斯,佢有高美斯,唔精神,高佬虾矮仔,

歐冠盃 4-25 02:45 多蒙特 - 皇家馬德里 0 2.75 10.5 -0.5 4.5 +0.5

算唔算又系一场主客战绩上,或者西德对战往绩上,主队占优的比赛,算唔算系等球迷去下结论。

·多蒙特欧冠主场保持全胜,
·皇马欧战对德国球队21win,只有1场来自客场,
·摩连奴执教皇马,作客欧冠17场仅输3场,

但系,同是天涯沦落人,今晚个镜头,在这伤心者通道上同行,Borussia have lost the league way too early just like Real,

自欧冠重开之后,皇马三线15战12-2-1成绩。而多蒙今年主场8-0-1的成绩。

一队就后生仔打天下,一队就当打当扎又经验丰富。

至今到到目前为止,真系实力上存在目前分野,都真系晋级成功。现时晋级赔率多蒙特2.80 vs 皇马1.48。

有人攞马拉加嚟做衡量实力的天平,亦都有人Borussia played twice against this "incredibly in form" Bayern team in Allinanz Arena and drew 1-1 and lost 0-1

altogether they are able to produce over 125 km within 90 minutes (it is usually between 105-118 km)
as move very fast from defense to offense in big numbers with a single long ball to Lewandowski who is good at blocking and heading duals.

当然今晚全世界系睇好大波,左右方面系50/50。but………………寻日就讲巴塞条后防好似女人穿衫

***********
In my opinion the couple of games in the group between the two teams mean that they have learned some lessons about each other (and we, the bettors, can learn from it too).

-first, is the fact that most of Real opportunities in both games came when Dortmund pressed too agressively, and pushed their back line too high up. Real did what they do best (especially Ronaldo)- sending quick balls behind the defence and breaking Dortmund's line.
(Ronaldo's goals at Germany became because of that).

1. 同寻晚巴塞一样,一定要chur你,必须要顶高d,比人打反击。

- second, when Real attacked, Dortmund narrowed the game and made it very hard to pass and create at the center of the field.

2. 当皇马进攻,中场压缩,多蒙好难有机。

- (3) Real didn't build their attacks from deep, and many times it was the Madrid two CB who tried to came forward and open space, so lesson 2 became effective.

3. 皇马唔会大军压境,但两个中坚会吃咗蛇咁,冲咗上去,

- as for lesson 3, beacuse Real played with too many players high sometimes, Dortmund scored. Because Dortmund love to play quick attacks with high tempo and spaces to exploit. (like the two goals they scored in Madrid, or the first against Malaga).

4. 事关多蒙特都中意长传反击,之前有两球就系咁搞正皇马。

so, in group stages the two teams conceded and scored many against each other, because in my opinion teams tend to attack more. In the group stages it less matter how many goals you concede and if it's at your home ground or away, its about who wins and taking the 3 points. But at the knocout stages, every goal has a bigger value, and teams tend to be quite more cautious.

淘汰赛阶段,每一个入波与失波都是至关重要。额外小心。

Malaga defended quite deep against dortmund in germany, and It was difficult to the germans playing like that cause they couldn't bring their high tempo action in play. I believe Real will play also depper that before.

After the teams learned the lessons about each other, I think we would see quite more defensive approach from both sides. I can't decide who will win this one (I tend to go more on the spanish side) but I believe both teams would make it much more harder to score.

Under 2.5 looks great for me with great odds of 2.20
Also a 0-0 draw at Half- Time is quite tempting for 4.50

GL ALL!

至于角球方面,其实好睇皇马,佢对住曼联可以收唔到,对加拉又放唔到。所以估佢唔到。

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