130529【莫探员】智Talk球探，友谊赛北欧波足球推介

今期节目由@莫探员 独家呈献！

节目下载地址：百度网盘

友誼賽 5-30 02:15 德國 - 厄瓜多爾

Ecuador vs Germany

当大家都知道，呢场系美国表演赛嘅时候，而你话明系表演赛，你竟然无星？无星嘅唔系叫表演，而系叫训练。所以事实同问题就一一出咗嚟啦，首先德国由最初让1.25经过两日的接连杀跌之后到目前的-0.75，呢个系事实！而问题呢？训练赛即系咩比赛？咩球员需要打训练赛，嗰d唔系叫明星，嗰d而系叫明日之星。

目前仅有2名多蒙特位列阵中

厄瓜多尔近13战未输过，包括阿根廷、葡萄牙、墨西哥。加埋一系列的得失球数字，绝对可以算得上系一队强队。

而德国队目前咁样嘅阵容好难去评估实力，仲有就系过去6战友谊赛香咗3场，而贵为欧洲之巅，姐系讲紧欧盟大佬，甚少作客。

虽则普度斯基今晚109次为德国队上阵，超过咗奇连士文，但而家明显睇到马高雷斯，葛斯，缅恩斯的安祖舒卓尼，零四的達斯拿，更加like。

现时德国队仍然需要高路斯、高美斯呢d老将的后备力量，征战巴西。、

因此，嚟紧落嚟对厄瓜多尔同美国，睇下费雷堡的麥斯克魯錫有无料到。

气候有变化，德国10c，美国的迈亚密最低24c。基多14c

厄瓜多尔主教练Reinaldo Ruedas雷达斯，6月上旬仲要同秘鲁、阿根廷打世界杯南美预选赛，因此宣传最强阵容最强阵容出征美国，

Germany without almost all of its best players on this trip through the US. Although his future in the German National team looks very uncertain, it is Arsenal striker Lukas Podolski that is something like the leader of this team. With this upcoming match against Ecuador, his 109th for the German team, Lukas Podolski will overturn current coach of the US National team Jürgen Klinsmann in the list of the top 3 players with the most matches for a German national team but in Marco Reus, Mario G?tze, Andre Schürrle and Julian Draxler he has strong competitors in midfield and it really looks like he may not add many more matches for L?ws team in the future.

While the public here looks at this US trip as a totally useless one I am of a different opinion as this tour also means a nice chance for some other back-up candidates to show what they got. Especially the attack with the old working horse Miroslav Klose and Mario Gomez needs at least one real good alternative as far as the big tournament next Summer in Brazil is concerned. Therefore the upcoming 2 matches against Ecuador and the US National team are a big chance for Freiburgs striker Max Kruse to confirm his great form of last season here in the German National team too.

In general the atmosphere around the team on this trip is very good as all the players belonging to the squad like this tour but there are some factors that point into the direction that concerning the results on the field。in the end this tour might not be a very successful one Especially the form of the players in the offensive midfield has to be questioned
as Andre Schürrle should be some kinda absent- minded because of his future that still is unclear as his big wish to move to Chelsea still has not beenn fulfilled yet. Also Schalkes Julian Draxler not fully fit after a small surgery on his arm.

In addition to all this it is also the climatic change from the cold German weather to the hot and steamy climate around Miami that should be a big problem for the players especially after the long season. Coach Reinaldo Ruedas Ecuadorian team has 2 qualification matches ahead this June against Peru on the 8th and Argentina on the 11th but as currently they are on the 2nd position in the qualification group it looks like this team should rather easily reach its aim to qualify for the WC in Brazil. Therefore Rueda announced that he will play with the best team available in this encounter. The top star of this team is offensive midfielder Antonio Valencia from Manchester United and all in all Ecuador can count on all of its 10 legionary players that do not play in the home league with the exception of Felipe Caicedo from Lok Moscow who is injured. Considering all these facts I definitely cannot see an easy win by the German team. I would even not be surprised in case Ecuador would win this match.

My pick: ECUADOR +1 ; odds around 1.93; stakes 8