足球推介-莫探员【欧洲来料】丹麥甲：AB哥本哈根 – 寧比

丹麥甲 3-23 22:00 AB哥本哈根 - 寧比 参考客队

冬休翻嚟第一场波~~

两队6-7公里，打吡战！

上季AB哥本哈根最后一战才惊险保组，咁啱得咁桥就系4-2炒咗宁比，当然宁比无欲无求啦。净胜球比同分对手斯基夫多7只，AB哥本哈根已经是连续两个赛季最后一战惊险保组，同拍戏无咩太大区别……

然后球队就长期处于降班区，长期喺ICU深切治疗部一直吊盐水，病情而家仲一路恶化，俱乐部的传奇人物，老江湖兼队长Klaus Lykke同主教练嗌交，意见不合，自炒离队。

唔单止系咁，自己走就好啦，仲煽动队友走人，然后d疯狂粉丝完全举手举脚支持，连d媒体都撑埋一份，果不其然真系有人跟着话走，就喺一个星期前，队中重要的中坚Mads Ibenfeldt (196cm)，唱起Beyond的钟声敲响归家的信号，话佢自己好唏嘘，翻去伦敦揾女条女埋堆……

俱乐部在这个冬休期间纷纷离队，俱乐部紧急罗致球员，超过10+新球员，即系对于主教练嚟讲，同重新执过一队波系无咩分别。

孤勿论今仗对宁比是否要归还上季的人情，就这10年间双方交锋，AB哥本哈根从来未赢过对手，仅仅是上季一仗而已

AB Kobenhavn vs Lyngby

Derby time.

Visiting team Lyngby travels only about 6-7 kilometers south to face local rivals AB (Gladsaxe).

I find the odds a little too high on the away side here, due to a variety of reasons:

Last season AB only managed to avoid relegation on the final match of the season, by beating Lyngby by 4-2 in a game where AB had to win and where Lyngby had nothing to play for. That 4-2 win saved them from relegation with only a better goal difference than Skive IK. (Second consecutive season where AB managed to avoid relegation on the final day of the season)

Yet still they find themselves spending all winter in the relegation zone.

And this winter's been quite chaotic. Club "legend" and captain Klaus Lykke left the club after a disagreement with coach.

After being the first choice to the starting eleven for about a decade in the club, he didn't leave quietly. He's loved by every fan and the fan club went crazy and the media also made it impossible for anyone to not have an opinion in this matter.

As if that wasn't bad enough the important Center back Mads Ibenfeldt (196cm / 6.43ft) suddenly threw a bomb only a week ago and left the club to move with his girlfriend to London.

The two of them are among the 10-11 players who left the club this winter. And AB have been a club where many many many changes in the squad is made in every transfer window, which isn't exactly what you'd like as a coach. Constantly having to build up a new team after every window. AB is a Copenhagen surburban club who pretty much grab players that moves to Copenhagen or players that the big clubs in the Copenhagen area cannot use. It's actually not a bad idea, but when players come in and leave in the next window and it's up to 10+ players in every window it becomes a nightmare to any coach!

Now starting the second half of the season starting 4 points short of Hvidovre on the safe side of the relegation zone, I personally have AB as big favorites along side Marienlyst to suffer relegation. I can't see AB for the 3rd consecutive season avoid relegation. And I believe they will begin 2014 as poor as 2013 ended. They will lose this derby.

As written AB beat Lyngby 4-2 on the very final match of last season, in a game where AB had everything to play for and Lyngby noting. That win was AB's first home win agains rivals Lyngby in more than 10 years.

And Lyngby already beat AB twice this season. 0-3 win in the Cup on AB's stadium and 2-1 win home in Lyngby.

I could write an even longer preview of away side Lyngby. But the numbers speak for themselves, in the 1st half of the season Lyngby showed very poor away form and gained most of their points at home. That is also why I only tip an away win and no handicap betting of any kind.

It's the first game of the yeah, it's a derby match and it could be a nervous start to the game. But considering all the chaos around AB, the many departures and arrivals of new players I cannot see them grab points in this match. Lyngby should and will show that their young and talented squad is way better than AB.

There are no suspensions nor serious injuries in either side, that should have any major impact on this match.

My tip. Away win!

莫探员欧洲来料承诺大家永远免费，来料分“参考”和“推荐”两个级别

莫探员微博：http://weibo.com/detectivemok