足球推介-莫探员【欧洲来料】波蘭超：歷基亞 VS 克拉科夫

波蘭超 5-31 21:30 [4]歷基亞 - 克拉科夫[5]

历基亚d射手“死”晒——火。最好抽入咗13球的Orlando Sa停赛；然后Ondrej Duda下滑严重（入咗5波），冬季的时候爱华顿叫价8百万，而家慕逊加柏比5百万都嫌多；Michal Kucharczyk入咗5波，之后变咗独眼龙，oh shit~~；Michal Zyro又系下滑严重（仲未破处），Miroslav Radovic入5波，冬季转会走咗。此外，历基亚的队长Vrdoljak (28/4 m)，全能球员Guilherme (16/1 m)都带伤，

客队克拉科夫的快翼Guerrier (20/6 m)回归，仲有中场发动机Stilic，联赛神射手之一的Brozek同埋其他绿叶球员，目前都非常好状态，所以下下都有入波。

至于点解玩大波，因为个格问题，历基亚克住克拉科夫，所以估计佢都会有波入，毕竟克拉科夫d防守好脆。

参考：克拉科夫，大波

Legia Warszawa - Wisla Krakow

Recently Legia look like a team that couldn’t score without Orlando Sa (24/13 f, top scorer). And guess what - Sa is suspended for this game, so is Michal Maslowski (11/0 m), but he is not half as important as Sa.

Well, let’s take a look at Legia top 5 goalscorers:

Orlando Sa - 13 goals - as I said, suspended for this game
Ondrej Duda - 5 goals - completely out of form, he was wanted for 8M euro by Everton in the winter, now M-Gladbach don’t want to give more than 5M, this value drop is not a coincidence
Michal Kucharczyk - 5 goals - one-eyed between blindfolded, but even though he is in good physical form, he has no goals and only 1 assist since 19th April
Michal Zyro - out of form, 5M that Legia wanted for him in the winter looks like a good joke
Miroslav Radovic - 5 goals - left the club in winter, leaving huge gap in attack

Also team captain Vrdoljak (28/4 m) and quality all-around player Guilherme (16/1 m) are doubtful with injuries. In this situation only players that are healthy and in good form are: GK Kuciak, DM Jodlowiec and RB Broz.

Wisla will most likely have their explosive winger Guerrier (20/6 m) back for this game which makes their offense one of the most dangerous in the league. With great playmaker Stilic, one of league leading goalscorers Brozek and some others in good form, they can break Legia defense few times and lead to a positive result here - maybe even a win.

Wisla played a great game against Jagiellonia for 88 minutes (then lost 2 goals), also they played well against Pogon (2:2 goal lost in 94th minute), Lechia (also lost the 2:1 lead) and Gornik (4:1 easy win). I think they were unlucky in last 3 games, but that’s enough.

Odds started to drop for Wisla, no doubt they will drop a lot more.

Legia didn’t win any of their last 7 games by more than 1 goal, Wisla didn’t lose any of their last 12 games by more than one goal.

Pick: Wisla Krakow AH +1.25 @ 1.82

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