130727【莫探员】智Talk球探，挪超奥甲瑞典超德超杯荷超杯足球推介

今期节目由@莫探员 独家呈献！

节目下载地址：百度网盘

挪超 7-27 21:30 阿利辛特 - 辛尼斯

呢场推油其实好普通，无非就系两队波有主非常相似的战斗状态，同埋大波势态，自从international break之后，阿利辛特打到现时第3的状态，都是基于教练Jan Jonsson的功劳。

而客队辛尼斯多场不胜跌入降班漩涡，而近两战又比佢哋揾到胜利嘅方法，呢方面教练Asle Andersen系有做到战术调整。

so，基于两队break完之后翻嚟嘅状态都非常相似，尤其是对于一队久旱逢甘露嘅辛尼斯嚟讲，呢个大波run，相信会继续run落去。要知道佢哋两队波属于主场龙客场虫。

Aalesund vs Sandnes Ulf

Aalesunds are on the third position in Tippeligaen. They had a good season so far and the coach Jan Jonsson is doing an excellent job. His team have played four matches after the international break and have two wins and two draws. However, something else is important for my pick - Aalesunds' matches are efficient. They are scoring and conceding goals on every match.

Sandnes Ulf are currently second from the bottom. They are deeply involved into the relegation battle, but the coach Asle Andersen has find a way to improve the form. His team managed to win the last two league matches. I believe the atmosphere in the squad is much better now. However, something else is important for my pick - Sandnes played efficient matches after the international break. Just as Aalesunds, they are scoring and receiving goals on every match. As You can see from bellow, a total of 18 goals were scored on the mentioned four matches. At the same time, three of them have finished with Over 2.5 goals.

Pick : over 2.5 Odds : 1.69 Stake : 8 / 10

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奧甲 7-28 01:00 薩爾斯堡 - 奧地利維也納

★据德国权威网站transfermarkt统计，萨尔斯堡一线队人均身价145万欧元高居奥甲榜首，大幅领先次席的奥地利维也纳(83.8万)。

★新季首轮仅萨尔斯堡和奥地利维也纳两支夺冠热门全取3分，5战开出3大2小，场均进3.2球。
主队遇神杀神的态势，大家可以check check，打出咗身价波，而面对SC马纳失嘅一球波，基于现时后防方面，担当中坚位置的两名球员Ramalho（新嚟报道） Hinteregger軒達歷加，平时都唔系正印。

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瑞典超 7-27 22:00 卡馬亞 - 龐馬普卡納

★卡马亚近7战庞马普卡纳全胜，亚指全赢，开出6大1小。防守第二最佳，主场不败，所以个门将今晚last一场，就要离队高就（传闻） ★庞马普卡纳近7个客场1平6负。入4失22

瑞典超抖咗5个星期之后继续开拖，卡马亚差5分可以打欧战，庞马就陷入降级区，目前佢哋miss咗 前锋哈迪 Haddad (11/5)，中场波赞Bojan Djordjic (15/0)，
Kalmar FF vs Brommapojkarna

Allsvenskan start again after a five week break, and round 17 enjoys a match where Kalmar FF host Brommapojkarna at home. The visitors sits on a relegation spot at the moment, more exact on the 15th place and 13 points while Kalmar are on a stable 6th position, only 5 points from the european spots, so they have a realistic target to reach a top 3 finish at the end of the season.

What have happened during these five weeks for the teams? Well, Brommapojkarna have suffered the most. Although they impressively beat IFK Goteborg right before the season break, they now have different circumstances. They lost their important forward Andreas Haddad (11/5) and now also suffer injuries on midfielder Bojan Djordjic (15/0) and Gabriel Ozkan (1/0) who came on in the last match versus Goteborg.

It should be added that Brommapojkarna are awful when they play away, with 7 matches played they have 1 draw and 6 losses, with only 4 goals scored and a remarkable 22 goals conceded, which makes them concede slightly over 3 goals per away match in average. And with some offensive injuries, they can't rely on getting much in attack.

Kalmar on the other hand are in a comfortable position. They are also the second best defensive team in the league, with only 12 conceded goals so far. They are still undefeated at home and have good potential in their squad with several interesting players. Keeper Etrit Berisha is rumoured to be leaving the club in the upcoming weeks, but he is in the squad for this matc, which may be his last for the club. Kalmar will be missing defender Paulus Arajuuri (12/0), reserve goalkeeper Zlatan Azinovic and Erik Israelsson who has been out long term.

Kalmar is a tricky team to beat, they rarely loses all three points at home and there's no doubt that they are favorites here. Brommapojkarna has an awful defense and they will likely not score here either. Kalmar are strong enough in the attack with Jonathan McDonald and offensive midfielder Soderqvist along with brazilian Romario and senegalese midfielder Diouf on the other side. They form a good strikeforce, good enough to cause damage to the shaky defenders in Brommapojkarna. The home team will have more possesion, and the visitors will try to counter and play diciplined. I certainly think that Kalmar wins, I'll take it with handicap of -1 (in case of Kalmar winning by 1 goal margin, you get the stake back). Good luck!

Pick : Kalmar FF -1 Odds : 2.08 Stake : 7 / 10
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德超盃 7-28 02:30 多蒙特 - 拜仁慕尼黑

全球195个国家直播，关注度越嚟越高，此外亦都是一个新赛季开波非常重要的标的物，已经先期进入角色的俄超、瑞士超、奥甲共舞一炉，然后系德超杯、荷超杯腾云驾雾，姐系荷超杯呢个名词唔系何鸿燊个女，飞跃7月之后，8月首个周末将会有德国杯、英冠、荷甲上演快打旋风。

自上任以来，瓜帅对拜仁的阵型和球员位置进行着不断的尝试，球队已逐渐放弃了上季夺得三冠王惯用的4231阵型，尝试343、4141的新阵，中场的控制力进一步加强。队长拉姆和穆勒位置前移得到解放，前者由右后卫位置前移至中场或边锋，后者则被提至锋线，两人积极的跑动全面盘活前场进攻，拉姆在电信杯半决赛和与巴萨的赫内嘅挥征服了拜仁球迷。

目前用完美过渡都不为过……

but两队离佢哋full team阵容条路比较软……唔够硬，今晚又系多蒙特主场，系咁易比下面…………

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荷超盃 7-28 02:00 阿積士 - 艾克馬亞

荷兰超级杯冠军通常无法在新赛季获得联赛冠军，球迷称为“衰神杯”，一贯迷信的阿积士将士尽管在主场相信也不会太尽力。

荷兰超级杯从1996年开始更名为告鲁夫杯并固定在阿积士主场进行。除了PSV在前3季拿了告鲁夫杯后又拿联赛冠军，其余15季的告鲁夫杯冠军都成为“衰神”。阿积士4次赢得告鲁夫杯都是战胜了PSV，但当季联赛冠军最后都送给了PSV，近3年超级杯更都在主场输球。

艾克马亚这些年人脚变化大，射手艾迪杜里已加盟新特蘭，中場阿當馬希則轉投燕豪芬。至於赫斯前鋒伊利巴巴積、烏德勒支中場胡坦斯、海倫芬後衛古維利奧及NAC後衛尼曼查古迪積，則分別來投。对荷甲冠军难有奢求，但杯赛却越来越出色。近2年荷兰杯交手，更都在此球场拿下阿积士。

阿积士就有巴塞嘅波赞加盟