140105【莫探员】智Talk球探，法国杯意甲西甲足球推介

今期节目由@莫探员 独家呈献！

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恭祝大家，新年快乐！不劳而获！早日实现人类的终极梦想！

法國盃 1-5 21:15 巴斯蒂亞 - 伊維恩

巴斯蒂亚联赛积分24分，当中有20分系喺主场攞。一个星期前俱乐部宣布罗致咗D·施斯。喺库班撬佢过嚟。巴斯蒂亚的主场恐怖之处系在于佢条前锋线成支叉咁。而家有5嘢咁多。

伊维恩状态飘忽起伏不定，可以KO PSG，又可以比屎过佢哋嘅罗连安特大炒4-0。现时6分距离降级区，由于法联杯佢哋ko咗而家呢个对手巴斯蒂亚，所以佢哋未来10日要打4场波。

即系一队下游球队，三线作战？？咪玩啦，目前法国杯有排都未玩，而法联杯就已经打到semi-final，而嚟紧的对手系法乙的球队，极有机会再下一城……于是乎，会唔会留力呢？？？

然后呢两队最近好似72家房客咁，朝见口晚见面……

参考：巴斯蒂亚

Bastia is currently at 13th place with 24 points collected so far. The 20 out of these 24 have been collected at home, where they show remarkable strength with 6-2-1 (13-5), the fifth best home record in the League. A week ago they announced the arrival of CF Djibril Cisse, the 32-year-old, who signed for the Corsicans after ending his contract at Russian club Kuban. Cisse, is expected to give everything for a position to the French National Team at the FIFA 2014. The tough striker, with large experiences in Liverpool, Marseille, Sunderland, Panathinaikos, Lazio, QPR and Krasnodar has scored so far 241 goals in 544 games and 9 goals in 41 games with the National Team! He will join Bruno, Boudebouz, Khazzri and Krasic in Bastia’s attack.

On the other hand, Evian is the team that manage the first loss to PSG breaking their long record. They are currently at the 16th position of the League, 6 points above relegation zone but with one game less. They have a very tough program to follow as they will have to give 4 games in just 10 days!!!

On Jan 5, Jan 8, Jan 12 and Jan 15!!! On 5 Jan they face Bastia for Coupe de France round 64, then they have 2 consecutive games for the League. Immediately after they face Troyes for Coupe de la Ligue and have a unique chance to advance for the semi-finals, as Troyes is the weakest team of the 8 in quarter finals and the only one playing in 2nd division.

So in Evian they know that they have to set priorities as they do not have the bench of PSG! Although it is too early to know about the lineups, I believe that coach Hantz is obliged to give less priority to the game against Bastia and fight for the rest, besides Coupe de France is still in a very early stage.

The two teams met early on December and Bastia won 2-0 at home. Now with the addition of Cisse and with Evian not playing at full power (as I personally expect), I belive they have what it takes to use their strong home venue and get the win.

My pick is Bastia win @ 2.34 Marathonbet

意甲 1-6 03:45 祖雲達斯 - 羅馬 -0.75 2.75 10.5 -2 6 BTS：1.72

榜首大战，不知不觉间罗马已经落后祖记5分。

祖记9战全胜，仅失1球。罗马17轮不败。派路伤愈复出，祖记中场控制更劲，毕竟目前祖记是最终采用352。罗马呢个赛季就靠住好恐怖嘅攻击力，同埋多变的战术。

而托迪之前的缺阵就系令到罗马连战连平，如今复出罗马又貌似翻晒翻嚟，不过客场就3连平。

今仗双方人员都较为齐整，只有长期伤兵罗马的边卫，意大利国脚巴沙列堤缺阵，多少影响球队的边路运作。

有2样事实摆在眼前，第一状态祖记较好，第二，罗马客场3连平，威廉希尔刻意压低平局赔率3.40。

即系罗马系有足够实力同祖记去PK嘅，咁倘若根据过往的交锋情况，盘口开得唔咁深的情况下，细波居多，而家大家的防守力都系有的话，

参考：细波，半平全主4.33。

西甲 1-6 03:00 皇家蘇斯達 - 畢爾包 -0.25 2.75 11.5 -1.5 6.5 BTS：1.57

巴斯克打吡。4 vs 5，欧冠入场券之战。然后再睇下个积分榜，榜首三头车马，根本就遥不可及，大家都对呢粒沧海遗珠虎视眈眈，唔系你死就系我翻唔到屋企。所以呢场一定好睇！

皇苏，卡路士韋拿和基斯文实现了两翼齐飞，由于攻击力的强大，防线上受到的压力并不大。

毕尔包，攻守平衡，球队不仅地面配合流畅，定位球得分能力也比较突出，

巴斯克德比皇家社会分给毕尔巴鄂竞技500张票。

有数据指出，皇苏其实只是咁啱对住d下游球队，所以先嚟咗个run，倘若统计佢哋对战前10球队成绩就仅有2-2-3，并且2场胜仗都系喺第8的加泰和第9的爱斯宾奴身上获得。反观毕尔包走势更加平稳，主场不败，客场3-1-4，两场败仗输比皇马、马体会。vs前10球队4-1-3，而且击败过巴塞。

跟住的确好有说服力，但点解赔率往皇苏方向做出集体下调呢？

然而interwetten佢的反应系 3.00 2.80 不断反复。

参考：毕尔包