140118【莫探员】智Talk球探，英超法甲足球推介

今期节目由@莫探员 独家呈献！

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荷甲冬休翻嚟啦……川迪[3] 3-1 荷華高斯[

英超 1-18 20:45 新特蘭 - 修咸頓 +0.25 2.25 11 0 3.5 0 BTS：1.83

·南安普顿官方宣布：俱乐部已与日本前锋李忠成解约。

·英超南安普敦俱乐部在官方推特宣布，意大利籍的首席执行官尼可拉-科特塞离职，这令主教练波切蒂诺的帅位也成了疑问。科特塞在2009年出任南安普敦首席执行官，帮助球队从英甲一路杀入英超，波切蒂诺也是他后来任命的，阿根廷少帅曾称，如果科特塞不在了，他在这里执教也就没有了意义。

·波切蒂诺：我们也是人，前主席的离开让人伤心，但我们还要专注周末的比赛。我对球员也是这么说的。我要强调的是，当前主席给我这份合同时，他唯一要求的是保持100%的职业。

参考：新特兰

英超 1-18 23:00 阿仙奴 - 富咸 -1.75 3.25 11 -5 3 +1 BTS：1.90

英超 1-18 23:00 水晶宮 - 史篤城 -0.25 2.25 11 -1.5 3.5 +0.5 BTS：2.00

初初平手盘，而水晶宫就要让平半，点解？包尾的球队竟然要让12位的球队？首先基本面就史笃城客场得分能力好差，22分入边仅有5分系客场取得。而水晶宫近段时间的失利都是面对劲旅，车仔、纽卡、曼城、热刺，其余的对手都有唔错的成绩单。

而家史笃城主力门将贝高域始终缺阵，不单止，俱乐部仲有内部问题，射手钟斯拒绝对阵利物浦，后离队。如今只能起用冬季新签翻嚟的20岁毕兰特。

参考：水晶宫

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英超 1-18 23:00 曼城 - 卡迪夫城 -2.25 3.5 11.5 -5.5 3 +1 BTS：2.20

曼城仅仅落后阿仙奴1分，四线作战。尼格杜、迪斯高、阿古路，火力全开，目前入咗99只，比巴塞的83只多16只。以往会话球队有无大卫施华好影响队波的运作，有无甘宾尼好影响队波的防守。而家仲有无讲呢d嘢啊？

柏历连尼话要继续上演进攻足球，原本一d更新换代的事情，都放埋一边，唔会卖列史葛。对长远嚟讲唔知系咪一件好事情，但至少可以肯定对于吃正曼城呢条水的球迷嚟讲，绝对系拍烂手掌。赢游戏赢到飞起。

至于卡迪夫城，目前仲系言之过早。起码都要到3月份先可以嚟一波大冲刺。

参考：曼城

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英超 1-18 23:00 諾域治 - 侯城 -0.25 2.25 10.5 -1.5 3.5 +0.5 BTS：1.90

英超 1-18 23:00 韋斯咸 - 紐卡素 +0.25 2.5 10 -0.5 3.5 0 BTS：1.66

英超 1-19 01:30 利物浦 - 阿士東維拉 -2 3.25 11.5 -5 3 +1 BTS：1.90

曼城同利物浦算系一组，大家都同样有着进攻火力强大，主场之利，对阵下游球队。锋线球员一复出就见工。而利物浦仲多咗一样嘢，破咗魔咒，作客史笃城不胜魔咒。

维拉千苍百孔的后防线早已是不可回避的命门，主帅林拔对于后防线的改造目前来看仍无力回天。

参考：利物浦

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西甲 1-18 23:00 貝迪斯 - 皇家馬德里

一头一尾的对碰。

法甲 1-19 03:00 奈斯 - 阿些斯奧

法甲冬季转会市场上，多支中下游球队通过租借等途径积极引援，希望为下半程的保级历程做足补给。

例如索察就租借到马赛前锋J·阿尤，并通过主帅利拿Hervé Renard曾执教过赞比亚国家队的关系打包收购了两名赞比亚国脚，3名新援上周末悉数已经首发。

蒙彼利埃则租借了在AC米兰不得志的前卡昂前锋利昂。

华伦西恩斯租借得到莫斯科斯巴达的前锋华里士和摩纳哥中坚文迪夏尼。

唯独是包尾嘅阿些斯奥至今在冬窗市场只出不进。

到目前为止，阿些斯奥在1月份已有6名球员离队，引援则为零动作。

其中，效力长达6季的队长中场皮耶哈兹离队加盟圣荷西地震最令人意外。上赛季加盟首季打入11个法甲进球的梅度萌生去意，阿些斯奥也是与其和平解约。另有3名未能获得稳定出场机会的球员被外借或转会，祖云达斯小将迪亚涅也提前结束租借返回意大利。

眼下阿些斯奥已经落后降级区外9分，近13轮联赛仅取得3平10负，但俱乐部上下并没有想方设法增兵逃生。20轮战罢，阿些斯奥合计只打入了14球。如今其一线队锋线的8名球员没有一人的联赛总出场次数上双，其中有5人为20岁或以下的小将。连求生意志都没有，阿些斯奥当长期追打。

参考：奈斯

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荷甲 1-19 02:45 施禾尼 - 維迪斯

欧指对维迪斯无利

Well, I follow this league very closely and watch many games live, 1 bet stands out for me and that is Vitesse away against PEC Zwolle. odds already dropped and we have to be quick cause in a few weeks odds for Vitesse are like 1,50 in these kind of games. Again, they brought in some talented/great players to strengthen their squad in the likes of Traore loan from chelsea, Labyad fast winger from Sporting Lissabon and now today they've signed one of Zwolles best players Achenteh. This will be a blow for Zwolle ofcourse. I already fancied Vitesse to win here because of their great run also against some bundesliga clubs [HSV 0-0 score and Wolfsburg 2-3 win which is quite good]. They showed some great signs and nothing is more clear here than that Vitesse is really aiming for the title this year. They can't hide anymore from their ambition and will only get better in the second half of the season. FC zwolle is still without Lachman their best defender by far. Now they lost Achenteh left back to Vitesse which is another blow. I'm not sure if Lachman will be fit again but he did not play against Ajax cape town 1-2 win, and FC stuttgart 1-4 loss.

This is their line-up against Stuttgart pretty much their best team atm. PEC Zwolle: Boer, Van Polen (77. Pereira), Broerse, Van der Werff, Van Hintum (65. Labylle), Mokotjo (79. Patricio), Klich, Nijland (75. Karagounis), Thomas (46.Achenteh), Fernandez (46.Benson) en Hiwat (46.Gravenbeek). Maybe one or 2 changes but not much. Before the break they were on a bad streak. 3 losses and 2 draws in their last 5 games while they've only scored 3 goals and conceded 10. I backed Feyenoord with high stakes against Zwolle that was he first game Lachman missed and you could see that it was very important. He is a strong, big guy with great passing. Anyways, If he's still out I'm going big on Vitesse and I expect him to miss out again.

Vitesse are on a great run in the league. Won 4 of their last 5 games including a Historical 2-6 away win at PSV. They've scored 15 goals while only conceded 6. They suffered a cup loss against Roda jc though and that was a wake-up call for them. P.Bosz their coach was really mad about that result and that shows he is really ambitious to get Vitesse back on track. I have no doubts they will come out gun blazing this weekend against Zwolle. Both play attacking football which suits Vitesse more because they can also play perfectly on the counter with fast wingers especially with Labyad now too.

They have the same amount of points as Ajax 37 and that's huge for the club. Their stands are getting more and more filled every weekand this will give their team a boost ofcourse. Everyone smells the title is close this year if they can keep up this form. Havenaar is still suspended for Vitesse, that's a shame cause he did a good job lately. Not a real striker joined vitesse these days so they will play another style in this game but it does not matter that much for this game. Normally I would be cautious backing Vitesse without Havenaar cause he is a great target men and important for Vitesse's gameplay but since Zwolle plays attacking football especially at home Vitesse will play through their wings and in Piazon they have a great finisher aswell.

All in all, I expect an away win and nothing else. Zwolle is even weaker than before and without these 2 important defenders they will suffer atleast 2 goals. They lack a real goalscorer and Vitesse's defense is good enough to keep things tight. Odds are around 1.80 while posting this but I expect them to drop cause of this transfer also. We gotta act quickly to get max value on Vitesse while we still can. High stakes on the away win for me. Medium stakes Vitesse to score 2 or more goals. low stakes Vitesse to cover the -1.5 handicap and small stakes on L.Piazon anytime goalscorer! This guy also takes their penalties.

Good luck all!

 

There have been under 2.5 goals scored in 11 of Crystal Palace's last 13 games.
水晶宫过去13场，有11场少于2.5球。

Sunderland are undefeated in their last 6 matches against Southampton.
新特兰过去6场，对阵修咸顿不败。

Liverpool have scored at least 2 goals in their last 7 home matches.
利物浦过去7个主场，至少攻入2球。

Roma have kept a clean sheet in 8 of their last 10 home matches.
罗马过去10个主场，有8场保持处子之身。

Espanyol have won their last 5 home matches against Celta.
爱斯宾奴对阵切尔达，近5个主场全部胜出。

Marseille are undefeated in their last 7 home matches against Valenciennes.
马赛对阵华伦西恩斯，过去7个主场保持不败。

Montpellier are undefeated in their last 12 matches against Sochaux.
蒙彼利埃对阵索察，过去12场保持不败。

Rennes have scored at least 2 goals in 6 of their last 7 matches against Evian.
雷恩对阵伊维恩过去7场，有6场至少攻入2球。

Nice have kept a clean sheet in 7 of their last 9 matches against Ajaccio.
奈斯对阵阿些斯奥过去9场，有7场保持处子之身。

Waalwijk are undefeated in 9 of their last 10 home matches against Groningen.
RKC华域克对阵高宁根过去10个主场，有9场不败。

Roda have conceded at least 2 goals in 17 of their last 20 away matches.
洛达过去20个客场，有17场至少失2球。

Hibernian are undefeated in 10 of their last 11 home matches against St. Mirren.
喜百年对阵圣美伦过去11个主场，有10场不败。

Kilmarnock are undefeated in their last 7 matches against Partick Thistle.
基马诺克对阵巴特里，近7场保持不败。

Dundee United are undefeated in 11 of their last 12 matches against Ross County.
登地联对阵罗斯郡，过去12场，有11场不败。

Club Bruges have won 13 of their last 16 matches against Lierse.
布鲁日对阵利亚斯，过去16场，赢了13场。